Elections Intelligence

Amanda Marie Green

FL-2U.S. House H architectural icon
CHALLENGER Likely R Underdog
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Likely R

Green is the Democratic nominee for an open seat the Signal rates Likely R. The market has Green at 9¢ against Rogers's 93.5¢, down 0.5¢ since August 3. Rogers leads 2.9 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Green · Democratic contract
9.0¢
▼ 0.5¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Amanda Marie Green by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 16¢ · low 8.9¢Oct 12
Amanda Marie GreenDemocratic
9.0¢
Austin RogersRepublican
93.5¢

10,133 traded · 5,583 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Green v Rogers

Metric by metric
Green
Rogers
9.0¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
93.5¢
$348.1K
RaisedFEC, through July 29
$1.01M
$28.0K
Cash on handFEC, through July 29
$387.0K
No office on file
Holds now
No office on file

The 2026 race

Florida 2nd District
Prior result
R+23.3

2024 general election, won by Neal Dunn.

Fundraising
2.9 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through July 29.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.