Adrian Boafo · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Boafo is the Democratic nominee for an open seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Boafo at 98.8¢ against Chaffee's 3.3¢, up 6.9¢ since August 3.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Boafo · Democratic contract

98.8¢

▲ 6.9¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Adrian Boafo by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 99.8¢ · low 91.9¢Oct 12

Adrian BoafoDemocratic

98.8¢

Chris ChaffeeRepublican

3.3¢

566 traded · 536 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Boafo v Chaffee

Metric by metric

Boafo

Chaffee

98.8¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

3.3¢

$1.68M

RaisedFEC, through June 30

No total for Chris Chaffee: no report covering this period is on file with the Federal Election Commission.

$91.9K

Cash on handFEC, through June 30

—

No office on file

Holds now

No office on file

The 2026 race

Maryland 5th District

Prior result

D+35.7

2024 general election, won by Steny Hoyer.